Monday, October 27, 2008

Top Ten Myths About the Bears

By Danny Sheridan
Kyle Orton and Matt Forte have been most responsible for the Bears averaging 28 points through seven games. Actually, the bigger reason that the Bears have been such a surprise offensively is the play of the offensive line, which people thought would be one of the league's worst groups. That's one myth about the Bears. Here are 10 more.

10. Jerry Angelo is totally cluelessCriticize Angelo for his failure to make good early round picks, giving Tommie Harris that big contract extension a month before training camp and not putting the franchise tag on Bernard Berrian, but give him some credit for one thing: there might not be a better GM in football at finding late second day draft steals. Look at some of the guys Angelo has chosen in the fifth round or later in the last few years: Kevin Payne, Corey Graham, Mark Anderson, Chris Harris, and Josh Beekman (last pick in the fourth round). Does that make up for wasting early picks on Cedric Benson, Michael Haynes, Mark Bradley, and Dan Bazuin? No, but I’m just saying.

9. The bye week came at a perfect time There’re two ways of looking at this. On one hand, the Bears are very banged up right now, with Tillman, Vasher, Lloyd, Hester, and Harris all nursing injuries. Then there’s my way. In a perfect world, the Bears bye would have come one week later, after their game against Detroit, who they could beat missing half their team. That would have given them two weeks off heading into the toughest stretch of their season: Tennessee, at Green Bay, at St. Louis, and at Minnesota.

8. The Bears should be at least 6-1It’s easy to say if not for Greg Olsen’s two fumbles, Tillman’s bonehead penalty, and Lovie Smith’s decision to squib kick, the Bears could be 7-0. Then again, if not for a fortunate goal-line stand (the Eagles play calling was ridiculous), and two fluke touchdowns on special teams against the Vikings, the Bears would have lost both those games. Really good teams find ways to win at the end of games, something the Bears are still figuring out.

7. The NFC North sucks
Outside of the NFC East, it’s the best division in the NFC, even with Detroit threatening to go winless. This is basically the same Packers team, with the exception at quarterback, that won 13 games and nearly got to the Super Bowl last year. Aaron Rodgers is neck and neck with Orton for the title of the division’s best QB and seems to be getting better every game. Minnesota started slow last season too, so you can’t count them out either. I wouldn’t be surprised if it came down to the Bears/Packers Monday night game at Soldier Field right before Christmas.

6. Corey Graham should start over Nathan Vasher
When David Haugh suggested that when Vasher gets back, Graham should still be the starter opposite Tillman, my eyes nearly bulged out. Then this past week, I’ve heard a lot of other people express the same sentiment. Did anyone else see Matt Ryan and Gus Frerotte absolutely tear apart the Bears secondary? Graham is a nice player, and an incredible story considering he didn’t play at all on defense last year. Still, the Bears didn’t pay Vasher 28 million for him to be the league’s best nickel back. And him missing nearly all of last season with a quad injury was probably the biggest reason the defense as a whole took such a big step backwards.

5. It’s time to dump the cover-2 defense
Since every NFL team plays some form of it, there must be a reason why it’s so popular. Like any defense, cover-1, zone, man-to-man- it’s all about execution. That means the Bears can’t have any more games where the defensive line gets no sacks or fails to generate consistent pressure. It helps to have both starting cornerbacks out there too, which was the case when the Bears shut down Peyton Manning and Jake Dellhomme. We’ve seen the bad (Marcus Hamilton not getting deep enough against Atlanta), and the good (Zack Bowman’s pick that sealed the Vikings win) of the cover-2 these last two games.

4. The Bears can continue to pass their way to winsI’m guaranteeing right now that what we saw against the Vikings we won’t see again this season from the Bears. Orton isn’t that good, the wide receivers aren’t that good, and the offensive line isn’t good enough for the Bears to think they can win games by being a passing team first and a running team second. In the last four games, Forte has averaged less than three yards a carry. If that continues, they'll will be lucky to win eight games. I’ll admit though, watching the Bears score 48 points by throwing the ball all over the field was really cool.

3. Devin Hester has lost valueOkay, so he’s not going to have six returns for touchdowns like he did in each of his first two years. And he has looked, well awful, on the majority of his returns. His blockers certainly haven’t helped much either. With all that said, he still has had a big effect on games. Just having Hester on the field has helped the Bears rank fourth in the NFL with an average position following kickoffs starting at their own 30.1 yard-line. He has also turned into a solid number two receiver, and reports are that the Bears may experiment with the Dolphins wildcat formation, using Hester in the Ronnie Brown role.

2. The Bears have seven “Pro Bowlers" on defenseTechnically, that’s correct, but of those seven, only Briggs and Tillman have played like Pro Bowlers this season. Urlacher, who still hasn’t figured out how to get off blocks, is only the third best middle linebacker in the NFC North. Harris has been a complete bust, and has quickly turned into the team’s most overrated player, surpassing even Olin Kreutz. Vasher has been injured, while Ogunleye hasn’t come close to reaching the level he played at last season. Having Brown healthy is obviously an upgrade over Danieal Manning, but even he has yet to deliver the big plays he has made a career out of. The Bears best defensive player so far? Alex Brown.

1. Kyle Orton is turning into an elite quarterbackOrton’s stats after seven games this season: 10 TD, 4 INT, 1669 yards, 62.2 completion percentage, 91.4 QB rating. Rex Grossman’s stats after seven games in 2006: 13 TD, 6 INT, 1639 yards, 61.4 completion percentage, 94.4 QB rating. I know that quarterback play has been so bad here for so long, and that it’s easy to see that Orton is no Grossman, but still let’s take it slow.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Love the idea and brought up some very good points, BUT KYLE ORTON IS THE FUTURE. Sign him to a long-term deal right now. He's already one of the league's best 10 quarterbacks. These first 7 games are no fluke as we'll soon see. Really good list though, I enjoyed it.

Anonymous said...

Thank You, for being one of the only bears fans who realizes we need to slow down this Kyle Orton love. After last weeks game, It got me thinking back to past seasons, it seems like every year we have a new QB and they finally have that breakout game, or stretch of games, everyone just starts going crazy. I can even remember 4 or 5 years ago after chad hutchinson had an awesome game against the Vikings everyone thought we found our new QB. And i also distinctly remember listening to Doug Buffone and Hub Arkish on the radio after the first 5 weeks of the 2006 season saying how the management would be crazy to not give Rex an extension during the season.

At the begining of the season i was not too excited about this team. From the perspective at the beginning of the season, the bears had no chance to compete for a super bowl, but now it looks like the NFL is wide open and it seems like any team could win it this year. Shit, the Titans are undefeated and their starting QB has only thrown 3TDs all season

Anonymous said...

Nathan Vasher has always been overrated in my opinion. He had a lot of picks in 2005 and made the Pro Bowl, but he's far from a shutdown corner. If when he gets back he can't play at 100%, don't play him.
I agree though about how bad most of the big names on the Bears defense have played, especially Harris and Urlacher. Urlacher makes no plays it seems any more. And you're right about one other thing. The Bears deserve to be 4-3, no matter how close they've come to being 7-0. That stuff evens itself out over the course of the season.

Anonymous said...

i also distinctly remember listening to Doug Buffone and Hub Arkish on the radio...

I would urge you not to do that anymore. Ever. You know, for your health. Seriously, ever.

Ricky O'Donnell said...

Nice work Danny, though I disagree with soooo much of it. Urlacher the third best middle linebacker in the division!? Puh-leeeeeeeeeze.

Anonymous said...

Nick Barnett and Ernie Sims?

Anonymous said...

Some good observations, especially right in the intro when you mentioned how important the offensive line has been to the Bears success on offense. But come on, please, don't give Angelo any credit for anything. Ever. And also, I agree with the previous commenter, you're being way too hard on Urlacher. His stats might be down, but teams still have to game plan for him and account for him on every play.