Initially I was hesitant to write a list of this nature, seeing as it is quite a touchy subject for
TTCS, as well as the city of Chicago. But in a season where many could see the
Cubbies return to the playoffs, myself included, I thought writing a list as to why the Cubs will make the playoffs would be lame. So below are ten factors that could come into play down the stretch that will make or break the
Northsider’s near future.
10. Sweet Lou won’t handle losing streak well.We all know that
Piniella does not take losing well, and while they already went through a stretch where they lost seven of ten, it was early, and they never were out more than two-and-a-half games. A bad stretch in July or August could light a fuse under Lou that could ignite the team or more likely, deflate a team of veterans.
9. Soriano’s inconsistencySoriano put on a hitting display all last week hitting seven home runs and raising his batting average 100 points, so it is easy to say how great he is now. But if last season showed anything, it is that he is an inconsistent hitter. Of his 33 homers last year, 25 came in the months of June and September, where he hit a combined .328. Despite a .302 May and August being x-ed out with an injury, his power numbers were inconsistent, and was not a factor what-so-ever.
8. Will Zambrano keep cool?Carlos has been nothing less than spectacular so far this year, going 6-1 with a 2.45 ERA, but could the breaking of his bat in Saturday’s game be a sign of things to come? With an exception of his “lack of electrolytes” start on opening day, this was his poorest performance of the year,(four
IP, five ER, three BB, one broken bat over his knee)? If he is getting that upset about that line, which is not bad but not great, what is going to happen the day he gets absolutely shelled? (Everybody has that outing.) Can he keep his composure, or will it be an early end of a great season for Big Z?
7. Can the rookies play a full season?We all know that
Fukudome is not really a rookie, having played in Japan for numerous years before crossing the ocean. While he does have tons of experience in that sense, the Japanese league is only 135 games, a full month’s less of games than
MLB. On the same note, rookie Giovanni may not be used to the 162-game schedule, and these are two guys who are big parts of their recent success. What happens in September if the big catcher and the big import are no-shows? Henry
Blanco and Matt
Murton are not playoff-caliber players.
6. Will the hole in centerfield get too big?Reed Johnson has done a great job in the filler-role for the Cubs this season and proved his way into anybodies club house with that sensational grab on the warning track, but he is going to be a hitting liability as the season progresses. (.258/.340/.328 through Sunday) Jim
Edmonds would have been a great pick up two years ago, but his stock has plummeted quicker than Paul Wilson after a Kyle
Farnsworth body slam, and can't see him filling the void.
5. The injury bugWe all know this group of guys is not the most healthy group of ballplayers.
Soriano has continuous hamstring and groin problems, D-Lee has had some
DL stints in recent years, and
Aramis cannot go a week without some sort of problem. These three make up just a part of one of the most potent offenses, but if some of them are out of the lineup for nagging injuries, it takes away from the lineups’ explosiveness.
4. Will the back end of the rotation fall apart?As said earlier, Z has been brilliant this season and Ryan
Dempster has been surprisingly spectacular, but other than that, the rotation has struggled. Lilly is 4-4 and Hill has been in and out of the bullpen. Marquis has been sub-par as well. I don’t see this situation getting any better, not to mention that
Dempster has not had a whole lot of recent experience as a starter, so he may get worn out before they need him to. This could be the key downfall for the team, and a deadline deal may be necessary.
3. Can they withhold the pressure of first place?It is not often that they are in first place this early in the year and while last year they won the division, they were not in the first until August 1. This year they have lived up to the World Series hype they were given to start the year, but will they fold and forgo their first place spot in the division as St. Louis or Houston keeps winning, or when a young Brewers team start winning? While it may not seem too important to have that #1 spot in May, as the season goes on the pressure will intensify more and more with every game. Will it be too much?
2. The bullpenKerry Wood is absolute garbage. I do not care what people say about him, he should not be the closer and after blowing three saves by May 1, I do not know what it is going to take for a switch to be made. Personally Carlos
Marmol is the second best pitcher the Cubs have. If they do not want to put him in the closer role, he should be thrown in as many relief opportunities as they can give him. He has enough endurance to throw in at least the 7
th and 8
th innings. Jon
Lieber is bad, Hart is even worse, so there does not seem to be much talent there as of now. This is the biggest concern on the team and something needs to get fixed.
1. It has been 100 years since their last World Series winThe Cubs have not won since 1908, so why do people think this year is any different. The billy goat, Leon Durham and Steve
Bartman will always remain just as big factors to the team as Sandburg, Dawson and Sosa. While a playoff appearance is not unlikely, a repeat three-game sweep in the playoffs is just as inevitable if the majority of these other things actually factor in.